Starlink pays the bills, AI eats the cash.
SpaceX listed in June in the largest IPO ever, raising about $86B at $135 a share. Q2 revenue grew 92% to $7.8B. Starlink, with 12M subscribers, makes the profits; the AI segment (the former xAI) grows fastest and spent $15.8B on compute in one quarter. Elon Musk holds about 82% of the votes.
Price, last 12 months
Daily closes since the June 12 listing, with the 50-day average. One-year and 200-day figures fill in as history builds.
Revenue and margins, by quarter
Revenue in US$ millions, with gross margin on the right axis. SpaceX has published quarterly results only for the first two quarters of 2025 and 2026 (in its IPO filing and first 10-Q); full-year 2025 revenue was $18.7B. There is no guidance bar yet.
| Quarter | Ended | Revenue, US$M | YoY | Gross margin | Op. margin | EPS (GAAP) |
|---|
Watch list
What moves the thesis, sorted by direction.
Starlink
Subscribers doubled to 12M with ARPU steady at about $66 a month. Connectivity earns $1.66B a quarter and funds the rest of the company.
Compute leasing
AI revenue jumped 247% on compute deals with Anthropic and Google, with another $6.7B of cloud revenue under contract over six months from October. Management targets a $100B annualized revenue run rate by December.
Capex
Capex was $18.4B in Q2, 2.4× revenue, and the CFO expects similar spending for two more quarters. He says AI compute pays back in under a year; the AI segment still lost $1.26B.
Governance
Musk owns about 42% of the shares but controls about 82% of the votes through super-voting stock. SpaceX is not in the S&P 500.
Launch still loses money
Space revenue of $962M came with a $542M operating loss. Starship progress drives both costs and the long-term story.
Valuation and volatility
About $2.1T of market value on roughly $23B of trailing revenue. The stock has traded between about $105 and $226 since June, so position sizing matters.
Calendar
Q3 2026 earnings
Date not yet announced; Q2 was reported on Aug 4.
$6.7B cloud contract
Six months of contracted cloud services revenue, starting in October.
$100B run-rate target
Management's goal for annualized revenue run rate by December.
Sources
- SpaceX IPO: listing details
- Initial public offering of SpaceX (Wikipedia)
- Q2 2026 results and segments
- Q2 2026 capex and cash
- Q2 2026 call: capex outlook
- Q2 2026 Starlink and AI detail
- Quarterly income statement (Stock Analysis)
- Price and market cap: Yahoo Finance and Financial Modeling Prep, as of Oct 9, 2026