Factory automation, pulled along by chip fabs and data centers.
Rockwell sells the controllers, drives, sensors and software that run factories, warehouses and process plants. After a two-year industrial slump, organic sales grew 10% last quarter on semiconductor, data center and warehouse projects, and the full-year outlook was raised. It is a slower, steadier story than the chip names on this site, priced at about 33 times this year's earnings.
Price, last 12 months
Daily closes with the 50-day average. Rockwell has closed between about $400 and $495 since May.
Revenue and margins, by quarter
Revenue in US$ millions, with GAAP gross margin on the right axis. Rockwell's fiscal year ends September 30. Gross margin steps up from about 40% to about 48% in FY25 in the source data, and the two fiscal Q4 figures are left blank because the source shows outliers. The last bar is the Q4 sales implied by the ~$9.0B full-year guide.
| Quarter | Ended | Revenue, US$M | YoY | Gross margin | Op. margin | EPS (GAAP) |
|---|
Watch list
What moves the thesis, sorted by direction.
New growth markets
Semiconductor fabs, data centers and warehouse automation drove the quarter, with automotive and life sciences improving.
Margins expanding
Segment operating margin rose to 22.3% from 19.5%, and Software & Control earns nearly 35%.
FY27 outlook
The November report brings the first FY27 guide. The market will look for organic growth to hold near this year's 7.5–9.5%.
Recurring revenue
Organic annual recurring revenue grew 6% and software ARR high single digits, a slower but steadier part of the mix.
Industrial cycle
Rockwell's sales fell from $2.56B to $1.88B a quarter during the 2024 destocking. A turn in capex budgets would hit orders quickly.
Valuation
At about 33 times this year's adjusted EPS, the stock already prices in a solid recovery.
Calendar
Q4 FY26 earnings
Full-year results and the first FY27 outlook. The FY26 guide implies about $2.34B of Q4 sales.
Dividend review
Rockwell has raised its dividend every November for many years; the current rate is $1.38 a quarter.
Q1 FY27 earnings
First quarter of the new fiscal year, usually the seasonal low.