AI chips need new materials, and Applied sells the tools.
Applied Materials makes the deposition, etch, inspection and packaging tools that chipmakers buy, and services the machines already in their fabs. Revenue rose 25% to a record $9.12B last quarter on leading-edge logic, DRAM for AI and advanced packaging, and the October-quarter guide of $10.25B would be up 51%. The catch: China is still 28% of sales under tightening US export rules, and the stock has nearly doubled this year.
Price, last 12 months
Daily closes with the 50-day average. Applied peaked at $723 on Jun 30, fell to $436 by Jul 29, and has closed between about $415 and $545 since August.
Revenue and margins, by quarter
Revenue in US$ millions, with GAAP gross margin on the right axis. Applied's fiscal year ends on the last Sunday of October, so Q3 FY26 is the quarter ended Jul 26, 2026. Revenue covers Semiconductor Systems, Applied Global Services and Display (reported under corporate and other). The last bar is company guidance at the midpoint.
| Quarter | Ended | Revenue, US$M | YoY | Gross margin | Op. margin | EPS (GAAP) |
|---|
Watch list
What moves the thesis, sorted by direction.
AI-driven mix
Leading-edge logic, DRAM and advanced packaging are expected to drive about 80% of equipment market growth. DRAM revenue, including HBM packaging, rose 52% and packaging is guided to grow over 70% in 2026.
Record margins
Non-GAAP operating margin hit a record 34.0%, up 3.3 points in a year, and the Q4 guide of $10.25B would be the biggest quarter yet.
Fiscal 2027 outlook
Management expects another strong growth year in 2027 and says top customers now share 8-quarter forecasts. The Nov 12 report gives the first Q1 FY27 number.
Capex build-out
Applied plans to double system output by 2028. Capex rose 35% in the first nine months of FY26, so free cash flow lagged profit growth.
China and export rules
China was 28% of revenue, down from 35% a year ago. The US Affiliates Rule, paused since Nov 2025, is now due back after the trade truce ends Jan 10, 2027, and China is pushing fabs toward local tools.
Cycle and valuation
At about 44 times trailing earnings the stock prices in a long upcycle. It fell about 40% from peak to trough in just one month this summer.
Calendar
Q4 FY26 earnings
Guide: $10.25B ±$0.5B revenue, with Semiconductor Systems about $7.9B, AGS about $1.84B and other (mostly Display) about $510M.
US–China truce deadline
The truce was extended two months; the paused export Affiliates Rule is set to return when it ends unless extended again.
Q1 FY27 earnings
Date not yet announced; first-quarter results usually come in mid-February.
Sources
- Q3 FY26 results (Applied Materials)
- Q3 FY26 financial results snapshot (Applied Materials)
- Q3 FY26 earnings call transcript (Investing.com)
- Q3 FY26 summary and Q4 segment guide (Zacks)
- Quarterly income statement (Stock Analysis)
- US–China truce extension and Affiliates Rule (Crowell & Moring)
- Price, market cap, beta and earnings date: Stock Analysis and Stocklake, as of Oct 9, 2026